Campus Risk Levels

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Early Warning Sign Metrics

(March 2021 Update)

President’s Cabinet will receive regular information from the EOC related to available data listed below. Trigger points that would require the campus to pivot to hybrid or fully remote instruction require analysis of each data source, and would occur in close consultation with Monroe County Health Department and SUNY. Trends will be monitored daily and weekly, providing critical information to inform decision points related to campus operations. Information may change based on SUNY, NYS requirements and/or local health department guidance.

Triggers to a higher level generally include:

  • Local/Regional risk levels
  • Number of active lab test positive cases increasing over a 14 day period for individuals who come to campus
  • Increasing towards capacity limits for isolation and quarantine facility
  • Increasing towards depletion of inventory and availability of supplies
  • Decrease in stakeholder support and compliance, including campus, county and state
  • Known or unknown transmission sources. Unknown and spread out transmissions may elevate to a higher risk level.

Risk level definitions and potential considerations:

Risk Level - Green: New Normal

What does this mean?

Underlying threat of COVID-19 remains, but virus prevalence is low.

  • Little to no increase seen in reported data
  • Minor or no concerns regarding metric categories
  • Regional trends indicate low risk levels
  • Increase in active isolation cases include known transmission and are manageable

Actions to Consider

No changes warranted

Risk Level - Blue: Intermediate Alert

What does this mean?

Trends indicate that baseline data and indicators show rates of infection potentially increasing.

  • Positivity rate is low (generally less than 1%)
  • Slight increase in compliance issues reported by HR and/or Student Conduct
  • Regional trends indicate slight increase in risk levels

Actions to Consider

  • Increasing education and messaging around face coverings, hand washing, social distancing, etc.
  • Review specific areas for isolated closures/reductions

Risk Level - Yellow: Elevated Alert

What does this mean?

Increase in trends, showing infection rates increasing among students and/or faculty/staff:

  • Regional trends indicate moderate risk levels
  • Positivity rate is rising (generally over 1%)
  • Quarantine and isolation space is 20% full
  • Moderate increase in compliance issues reported by HR and/or Student Conduct

Actions to Consider

Consider limiting gatherings by:

  • Increase restrictions on in-person activities where transmission is occurring
  • Close areas where people congregate and/or where active cases are on the rise
  • Make dining carry out only

Risk Level - Orange: High Alert

What does this mean?

Increase in prevalence; regional trends increase and risk level is raised:

  • Regional trends indicate high risk levels
  • Positivity rate is rising (generally over 3%)
  • Quarantine and isolation space is 50% full
  • On campus surveillance testing results indicate an significant increase in positivity rate
  • Significant increase in compliance issues reported by HR and/or Student Conduct
  • Reduced availability of supplies
  • Increase in unknown transmission sources

Actions to Consider

Consider reducing density of campus by:

  • Suspend shuttles, fitness centers, etc.
  • Shut down known transmission areas to reduce spread (I.e. specific residence hall sections)
  • Reduce/suspend athletics, co-curricular activities, etc

Risk Level - Red: Severe Alert

What does this mean?

Spike in prevalence; regional trends increase and risk level is raised, including hospital and health care capacity.

  • Regional trends indicate high risk levels
  • Spike in unknown transmission sources
  • Positivity rate is high (generally 5% or greater)
  • Quarantine and isolation space is full
  • 75% of supplies are depleted and/or backordered

Actions to Consider

  • Initial action would include classes go remote and we enact Governor Cuomo’s two week pause.
  • Further reduce density of faculty/staff.
  • If during the pause, cases substantially increase, we would consult with state and local department of health and SUNY about moving campus operations remote after two week pause period. Residence halls may be emptied if trends indicate continuing concern.

Last Updated 3/12/21